The US has reignited the trade war prompting a fall in Asian stocks
President Xi of China may be confused, given that US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin recently said the US was putting the trade war ‘on hold’ while the 2 sides worked on future trading arrangements, in many private meetings that have taken place in both Beijing and Washington in recent weeks. However, given the unpredictability of the Trump administration, this is par for the course.
Punishing both China and Japan with tariffs at a time when it needs their aid in dealing with North Korea is a curious and high risk strategy. However, if Trump manages to win on trade by making China and Japan negotiate fairer terms, alongside securing peace on the Korean Peninsula through dialogue with Kim Jong-un, it will put the Republican party in a strong position for the upcoming midterm elections, alongside boosting his approval ratings.
China’s SSE Shanghai Composite fell again today in response to the news and is down 3.99% for the week so far.
The price of gold has also risen as investors flee to safe haven assets in the wake of political uncertainty in both the US and Italy (see the chart).
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