Poll: The Future Is Bleak?
“Whoās wrecking the U.S. economyās future?”
- 44%Ā Ā Covid
- 22%Ā Ā The White House
- 14%:Ā China
- 11%Ā Ā The People
- 9%Ā Ā Ā No one. Itās gonna be good!
The Invstr community is having to negotiate with tens of millions in jobless claims, and a depleted American workforce due to coronavirus. In a domestic sense, thereās rioting and looting, while in an international sense, there are trade wars. The finger-pointing has begun!
The obvious culprit is the coronavirus (44%), and thus its Chinese origins (14%), but remember, coronavirus couldnāt be spread if it werenāt for the people (11%), and it couldnāt be spread by the people if werenāt for the govvie being early and late with quarantines (22%).
If moneyās a problem in the United States, no problem; the Federal Reserve will just print more of it with quantitative easing. This combined with interest rates at zero means the economy is untethered from the stock market, so perhaps we can be bearish on one and not the other?
It depends. Itāll be a tug of war, because stocks donāt just need low rates and inflows from the bond market, stocks also need a good economy, an able workforce, and willing investors.
We can troubleshoot our economic woes. If Joe Biden becomes president in November and the wreckage worsens, itās not the White House. If Chinese relations are repaired, coronavirus goes away, and the wreckage worsens, itās not that. It might just be us!
Few expected FAANG to run away with this poll! The future is a long time. What do you make of it all?