The week in markets – May 24th

by | May 24, 2017

The market view

Cryptocurrencies are all the rage right now as Bitcoin and other spin-offs including Ethereum hit highs once again.

Recent data from Google Trends indicated that Bitcoin made the top 5 Google search requests on Monday this week. This could be partly down to the fact that the minds behind the global malware attack that began on May 12th demanded ransom payment in Bitcoin – creating plenty of publicity for the cryptocurrency. Due to the surge in popularity, prices have sky-rocketed once more as investors pile in on what some are calling a modern day ‘gold rush’. The results from the US indicate that ‘Bitcoin’ received over 200,000 searches. Ethereum made the top 20 results, coming in at number 18.

In Britain as election day approaches, the gap between the two biggest parties, Labour and the Conservatives, is narrowing significantly. Investors may have to start pondering the possibility of a government led by Jeremy Corbyn, one which will undoubtedly aim to place higher tax burdens on wealthy individuals and corporations. This might be morally appropriate, but whether it will put off businesses looking to invest in the UK is yet to be seen. One thing we do know for sure is that the Pound is still highly sensitive to political volatility, and an unexpected win for Labour might spark another selloff of the currency. Despite a rally in popularity amongst voters, investors had been expecting a clear Conservative majority, consolidating Theresa May’s power and allowing her to pursue her Brexit strategy with minimal interference. However, if a Labour government is elected in June, this may throw a spanner in the works, forcing a rethink of the British position on UK/EU negotiations.

In the US, defence stocks got a nice boost earlier in the week after new arms deals between the US, Saudi Arabia and other gulf states were signed over the weekend. The Trump trip to Saudi Arabia was his first official state visit since becoming President, and signalled happy days for the military industrial complex, but scandal in Washington is still causing concern. A recent poll from news outlet Reuters showed a slim majority of economists questioned believe that there is a lower probability that the US economy will grow 3% in 2017, as hopes for tax cuts and other pro-growth policies have become overshadowed by other political concerns. In other news concerning Gulf states, the price of oil climbed yet again ahead of another OPEC meeting Thursday. Brent crude prices already peaked above $54 a barrel slightly earlier in May, but many investors are wondering whether it can climb higher off the back of a certified agreement to more production cuts from major oil producing nations including Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

In Asia, Moody’s ratings agency has downgraded China’s credit rating – the first downgrade of it’s kind in 25 years. Chinese officials are reportedly skeptical about the announcement, believing that the risks to the economy in the future are overstated. However, despite the fact that the Chinese economy has been a major success story in recent years (while other major economies suffered and stagnated), they have a major debt crisis to contend with. Signs point to a changing attitude in China towards trade, with it’s leader Xi Jinping speaking at Davos earlier this year denouncing trade barriers, tariffs and protectionism. However, many foreign investors into China still say that the country is not as open to foreign investment as it would like to pretend despite it’s move towards a more western capitalist style of economy. Even if it were true that China’s government are reforming the economy further, this will not stop the debt rising, Moody’s wrote: “While ongoing progress on reforms is likely to transform the economy and financial system over time, it is not likely to prevent a further material rise in economy-wide debt, and the consequent increase in contingent liabilities for the government”. Chinese foreign direct investment fell 4.3% in April, according to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce.

Events to watch this week

  • Thursday – OPEC meet in Vienna to discuss whether to continue oil production cuts. Watch #brent #wtoil. UK GDP figures are released for Q1. Watch #GBP/USD #GBP/EUR.
  • Friday – Japan CPI for April. Watch #JPY/USD. Baker-Hughes oil rig count. Watch #brent #wtoil.

Upcoming Company Results

  • Thursday – Best Buy, Costco Wholesale, Gamestop, Hormel, Dollar Tree, Patterson, Medtronic, Tate & Lyle, United Utilities, QinetiQ, Halfords, Pets At Home.
  • Friday – Coal India.

Oil's Slick Upward Move

Technocratic officialdom just declared UBS, Zurich Insurance, Nestle, and in fact, the entire Swiss stock exchange, 'off-limits.' They've done what, now?

Once upon a time, a complex myriad of red tape allowed Swiss stocks to be traded across the European Union (EU). Brussels said enough's enough to that and decided to craft one deal to rule them all. While that was being drafted, a Swiss subplot started to boil. Elections, euro-skepticism, and trade unionists became a focal point, and the EU's immovable deal hit a Switzerland's unstoppable sentiment. The treaty crumpled.

In short, the EU just sent the bloc's fourth-largest exchange packing. The SIX, valued at $1.7 trillion with Nestle and Novartis on its register, is out it's own bounds. We can't invest in it anymore!

It's hard to tell who has this worst. For a start, Swiss companies may be forced to other stock exchanges outside Switzerland. A few already have. Investors still with access could end up paying more for shares as, with a European third of orders gone, brokers recoup money by setting higher asking prices. And the officials behind all this? Truly at each other's throats. 

Within the political mire, many hoped both sides could iron out their differences and keep the "equivalence" agreement going. Nope. Switzerland is furious with the EU for what it sees as a flex of power in front of Britain, still in its Brexit muddle. Creating a theatre, it sounds like Brussels is shouting 'don't mess with us!' in the direction of the UK, now teetering closer to a no-deal cliff edge. As Brussels endures its own leadership merry-go-round, Downing Street doesn’t even know to whom it should address its strongly worded letters…

All this couldn't happen to British stocks, could it? Could it?!

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:
Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Download on the App Store           Download on Google Play

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:

Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Share This