German Output Goes Missing 😳 Currency Wars: Rupiah Vs Rupee 💥

by | 8 Jan, 2019

 

1. German Output Goes Missing  

The latest industrial data coming out of Germany shows a drop-off in productivity for a third straight month, falling by 1.9% in November alone. Needless to say, Europe’s auto-making powerhouse has shifted down a gear, and investors are starting to worry about a recession.

The German economy felt the brunt of the slowdown in intermediate, capital and consumer goods as well as the construction, automotive and energy industries. Ouch, did anything improve at all?

Germany’s Economic Ministry pointed at new rigorous emissions standards, Brexit and Trump’s ‘America First’ policy as the key factors hindering its traditionally relentless growth trajectory. It also pointed out that the fundamental components of its economy, such as consumer spending, employment levels and wage rates all remain strong.

However, with global growth concerns on the rise, European political uncertainty persisting and Brexit likely to annihilate its auto-market, Germany’s export-driven growth strategy has left it extremely exposed to a recession in 2019.

Investors will be eyeing up its preliminary 2018 GDP data closely for any signs of life next week Tuesday, and so should you.

 

2. Currency Wars: Rupiah Vs Rupee

The gloves are off in 2019 and these two heavyweights are fighting it out for the high-yield title. However, Goldman Sachs has pegged the Rupiah to be the winner, thanks to a few key differences in the structure of its economy that will likely give it the edge over its Indian counterpart. 

As a net commodities exporter with a lower fiscal deficit, Indonesia will benefit from higher prices for its coal, while India will take a beating thanks to its massive oil-dependency and its status as a net commodities importer.

Until October, India’s Rupee was the worst-performing currency thanks to a surge in oil prices. Since then, the Rupee has appreciated significantly in line with plunging oil prices. However, with the prospect of greater supply cuts and decreasing inventories, Oil prices are likely to appreciate in the near-term and put downward pressure on the rupee.

India also faces a significant amount of political risk ahead of its general elections which may force a shift in power within the Indian government and likely weigh heavily on the Rupee. Conversely, Indonesian President, Joko Widiodo, is expected to win a second term without causing too much fuss.

The Rupiah kicked off the New Year by appreciating 2%, outpacing its Asian peers to reach a 6-month high. Indonesia has taken the gloves off and this may just be the start!

Today we are watching…

1. Takeda Pharmaceuticals (#takeda)

Takeda completed the $59 billion takeover of UK-based company, Shire, ahead of schedule Yesterday. The shock sent Takeda’s share price 11% into the green as investors welcomed the formation of a new pharma giant with open arms. Takeda is now one of the world’s 10 largest pharma companies. Definitely one to watch.

2. PG&E Corp. (#pge)

PG&E suffered a serious blow on Monday after S&P global ratings agency stripped the US utilities company of its investment-grade credit rating. The company was downgraded to junk status, pending further investigation. The downgrade is a result of political and regulatory pressure regarding the massive claims PG&E faces from the Californian wildfires. Further downgrades may be on the cards, so keep your eyes peeled!

 

 

 

 

 

 

All emails include an unsubscribe link. You can opt-out at any time. ​See our privacy policy.

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:
Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Download on the App Store           Download on Google Play

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:

Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Share This