Deal Or No-Deal? 💼 World Bank Woes ☔

by | 9 Jan, 2019

 

1. Deal Or No-Deal?  

Last night saw a mutiny aboard Theresa May’s H.M.S Brexit as some 20 Tory MP’s jumped ship to vote alongside the Labour party to restrict the Treasury’s freedom in the event of a no-deal Brexit. So, what does this mean?

This move was a strategic one to tie government’s hands and make the prospect of no-deal extremely unattractive. Limiting the Treasury means that the government would have limited access to funding to prevent any economic headwinds that could arise, leaving the UK’s economy extremely exposed. That’s more than unattractive, it’s downright ugly!

With the defeat coming a day before the debate was due to resume, more doubt has been cast on an extremely uneasy market. The next five days will be extremely important for MPs to negotiate possible alternatives to crashing out of the EU ahead of next Tuesday’s vote. Let’s hope they can all play nice.

The Pound weakened against the Euro last night, and analysts have forecast extensive volatility to come as the deadline looms into view. Good news throughout the week will likely filter through into a rally in the Pound.

However, in the event of a no-deal catastrophe, investors will be fleeing to safe haven assets, not just in the UK and EU, but the world-over. Have you started doomsday prepping?

 

2. World Bank Woes

It’s all doom and gloom coming from the World Bank after it downgraded the 2019 outlook in a grim report. The paper itself was even called “darkening skies”. Who knew the World Bank had such a flair for the dramatic?

The downgraded outlook is all thanks to the lingering effects of the trade war, weakening manufacturing activity and growing pressure on financial markets. The forecast estimates a second consecutive year of weaker growth coming in at 2.9%, down from 3% last year and 3.1% in 2017.

It’s a sea of red predicted for all major economies. The US is down to 2.5% from 2.9%, Europe is at 1.6% from 1.9% and China is at 6.2% from 6.5% as global growth splutters into 2019.

Even though positive headwinds in the trade war have boosted Asian markets from their lows, it will take some time to undo the damage done to global markets in 2018.

Tighter monetary policy, and a stronger Dollar have also pinched emerging market growth numbers, and will continue to do so as countries divert development funding into debt-servicing instead.

Overall the picture may be a bit grim, but with a possible trade deal on the horizon and a flexible approach from Powell, who knows, the skies may not be as dark as the World Bank has predicted.

Today we are watching…

1. WTI Crude Oil (#wtioil)

Oil is back with a bang this week and has broken the key $50 level. Boosted by positive signs of a US-China trade deal and moves by OPEC, Russia and other oil producers to curb supply, oil’s comeback may be here to stay in 2019. But beware of negative developments in the trade war. Markets like to take the stairs up, and the elevator down.

2. Union Pacific (#unionp)

US transport giant, Union Pacific, bounced 8% yesterday after announcing the arrival of a new Chief Operating Officer. The firm added railroad legend, Jim Vena, into the mix for his vast experience in precision railroad scheduling. Markets welcomed his addition with Credit Suisse forecasting reduced execution risk going forward. Keep an eye on this one.

 

 

 

 

 

 

All emails include an unsubscribe link. You can opt-out at any time. ​See our privacy policy.

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:
Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Download on the App Store           Download on Google Play

ALL RIGHTS RESERVED © INVSTR LTD. 2018

Risk Disclosure:

Invstr is a technology platform, not a registered broker-dealer or investment adviser. Invstr does not offer its own recommendations of any security or provide its own research to any user regarding any security transaction or order.

Please note, investing involves risk and investments may lose value. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Brokerage services of US-traded securities, including fractional trading, are provided to Invstr users by DriveWealth, LLC a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA/SIPC. DriveWealth may not establish investment accounts to residents of certain jurisdictions. 

DriveWealth provides no tax, legal, or investment advice of any kind, nor does DriveWealth give advice or offer opinions with respect to the nature, potential value, or suitability of any securities transaction or investment strategy. DriveWealth acts as the clearing firm for securities transactions entered on the Invstr mobile platform. DriveWealth is not affiliated with Invstr. Invstr does not participate in DriveWealth’s decision-making.

There is no minimum initial deposit required to open an investing account with DriveWealth. Expenses and Fees associated with the DriveWealth platform in conjunction with Beanstox includes either a monthly membership fee of $4.99 with a commission charge of $0.01 per share* or, in the event the membership fee is not paid, a commission charge of $0.0125 per share applies, subject to a minimum of $2.99 per transaction. There are no monthly minimum fees, or required ongoing minimum account balance. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost). View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

The monthly subscription charge is four dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$4.99) per month plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded (as examples, for a Transaction of 0.90 shares, the per share traded charge is one cent (US$0.01), and for a Transaction of 1.6 shares, the per share traded charge would be two cents ($0.02), and the quarterly subscription charge is fourteen dollars and ninety-nine cents (US$14.97) every 3 months plus one cent (US$0.01) per share traded. The monthly and quarterly subscription charges may be greater or less depending on additional services offered by a DriveWealth partners as part of the subscription model offering, or based on any subsidies provided by a DriveWealth partner as part of the subscription model offering. For non-resident aliens, there is a one-time tax verification fee of $5.00 (representing Form W-8BEN pass-through processing cost).View a full list of our fees at http://bit.ly/DWFees

This communication is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell securities. Investing in securities carries risk, including the loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future returns, which may vary. Online trading has inherent risk due to system response and access times that may be affected by various factors, including but not limited to market conditions and system performance. An investor should understand such facts before trading. The risks associated with investing in international securities, including US-listed ADRs and ETFs that contain non-US securities include, among others, country/political risk relating to the government in the home country; exchange rate risk if the country's currency is devalued; and inflationary/purchasing power risks if the currency of the home country becomes less valuable as the general level of prices for goods and services rises. Before investing in an ETF, an investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expense of the investment company carefully. ETF prospectuses are accessible within the mobile application via a link under each company’s “Description.”

A fractional share is a share of equity ownership that is less than one full share. Fractional share investing has certain limitations and restrictions that investors should understand prior to purchasing fractional shares: ownership of less than one full share does not give the fractional share owner the right to vote on company matters; fractional shares are non-transferrable, meaning they cannot be transferred to another brokerage firm; and fractional share orders will be accepted as market orders only. For more information and details on fractional shares, and any associated limitations or restrictions please visit: https://drivewealth.com/fractional-shares-disclosure

Share This